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Investment Event - US election, a waiting game

A Democrat “blue wave” and larger fiscal stimulus look less likely. A contested election result could delay implementation of stimulus.

04 November 2020

Articles

Download the full reportPDF, 381.92KB

Key takeaways:

So far, Joe Biden is ahead in electoral college votes, however we await final results from key battleground states
The scenario of a Democrat “blue wave” and larger fiscal stimulus measures has become less likely
A contested outcome could delay the final election result and implementation of stimulus
For now, we remain constructive on the US economic outlook, on further fiscal support and loose monetary conditions
Electoral uncertainty may cause some near-term market volatility
But we remain overweight on US equities, and stay strategically underweight US Treasuries

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Important information

The Funds invest in various investments, such as equities, bonds, money market instruments, collective investment schemes and alternative investments. Each fund has a different investment objective and risk profile.
The Funds may subject to the risks of investing in emerging markets and smaller companies; and may subject to the concentration risks when the investments are concentrated in one or a small number of markets or sectors.
The Funds may invest in non-investment grade bonds, unrated bonds, contingent convertible securities, mortgage backed securities, asset backed securities and urban investment bonds issued by PRC local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) which are subject to additional risks and volatility.
The Funds may have substantial investments in securities issued by a single sovereign issuer (including but not limited to issuer with a non-investment grade credit rating) and are subject to higher concentration risk, sovereign risk and credit risk.
The Funds may gain exposure to hedge fund, absolute return strategy, private equity, real estate sector and Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) which are subject to additional risks and volatility.
The Funds may invest in onshore Chinese securities through various market access schemes and China A-shares Access Products. Such investments involve additional risks, including the risks associated with China's tax rules and practices.
When investing in Indian bonds, the Funds may need to comply with the licensing regulations in India and may subject to additional risks, including quota restrictions and tax risks.
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The Funds may invest in financial derivative instruments for investment purpose which may lead to higher volatility to their net asset value.
The Funds may pay dividends out of capital or gross of expenses. Dividend is not guaranteed and may result in capital erosion and reduction in net asset value.
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Investing in money market funds are not the same as placing funds on deposit with a bank or deposit taking company. The Funds which are money market funds have no obligation to redeem units at their offering value and such Funds are not subject to the supervision of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority. Investors may not recoup the original amount invested in the Funds.
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